Pre Post Analysis
A practitioner's guide to Pre Post Analysis: how it fits, the mechanism behind it, and how to apply it without the usual mistakes. Written for marketing data scientists and analysts.
Key takeaways
- Pre Post Analysis is a topic within Data Science — a concrete choice, not a vague best practice.
- A good tool on a fuzzy definition still produces a misleading dashboard.
- Define the term in one sentence everyone agrees with before you measure anything.
- Review on a fixed cadence and write down what you changed and what moved.
- Change one variable at a time so results are causal, not coincidental.
What Pre Post Analysis covers
Pre Post Analysis is one subject within Data Science, which covers applying statistical methods to marketing problems, from MMM and propensity modeling to churn and LTV prediction; here it is framed as a decision, not a definition. Use that as the anchor.
The hard part here is judgment, not vocabulary. Pre Post Analysis belongs to Data Science — the discipline of applying statistical methods to marketing problems, from MMM and propensity modeling to churn and LTV prediction. The framing here is meant to survive contact with a real budget. Treating it as a vague best practice is the common error. Convert it into a decision concrete enough to test and to revisit.
Marketing data science applies statistical methods to marketing problems — including marketing mix modeling, propensity modeling, churn prediction, LTV prediction, and incrementality measurement.
Apply this in attribution debates, MMM projects, churn prediction model design, and incrementality experiments.
For deeper reading, look to Recast, PyMC-Marketing, Robyn from Meta, and Google's LightweightMMM. References orient you. They do not decide for you. In practice, that distinction does most of the work.
How Pre Post Analysis works in practice
Pre Post Analysis asks you to name the lever, the owner, the lag, and the guardrail, then improve them one at a time. Worth saying plainly.
Once you see the parts, the whole stops looking complicated. Split the goal into pieces, assign each one, and track each piece on its own. When it is run well, everyone on the team can name the input they affect.
| Element | What it is |
|---|---|
| Baseline | The pre-change level you compare against. |
| Inputs | What you actually control week to week. |
| Guardrail | The limit that stops a local win from causing a global loss. |
| Lag | How long before the effect is visible. |
Put it on a calendar; ad hoc reviews are how teams miss slow declines. Simple to say, harder to hold to when a quarter gets busy.
How to apply Pre Post Analysis
Apply it in four moves: define it, instrument it, run a real test, then review on a cadence. Everything else follows from it.
- Define the term out loud. Get the definition onto one line the whole team will sign. Disagreement here is the real starting issue.
- Instrument before you optimize. Verify the measurement before you touch the lever. If you cannot trust the number, you cannot read the result.
- Change one thing and test it. Change a single variable and measure against a control group. Without isolation the result is just correlation.
- Review on a cadence and write it down. Record what you changed, what moved, and what you will try next. The written trail stops the team relearning the same lesson.
Keep the sequence. A test before a clean definition just produces a confident wrong answer. Keep that in view as the specifics pile up.
Grounding Pre Post Analysis in real numbers
Check the numbers against public data before treating any of them as a target. Here is the short version.
Benchmarks are useful as orientation and dangerous as targets. A benchmark earned in one context seldom holds in a different one. Read the figure below as a heading, then go measure your own number.
Claim: Google reports most ad auctions resolve in well under a second per query. Source: [Google Ads Help]. Context: Speed is why automated systems, not manual edits, set most modern bids.
If a number below is unsourced, read it as RGM analysis: a tested observation, not a citation. It is a hypothesis to test, not a fact to cite.
Common mistakes with Pre Post Analysis
Most failures here come from skipping definition, optimizing in isolation, or ignoring a counter-metric. Pick one and commit.
The mistakes that quietly cost the most
- Skipping the current-state audit before designing the fix.
- Treating an industry benchmark as a personal target.
- Reviewing only when something looks wrong, so slow declines go unseen.
These mistakes are common precisely because they feel productive. Listing them before you start is the easiest correction you will make.
Quick answers
- How should a team treat Pre Post Analysis day to day?
- As a recurring decision, not a one-time setting. Name it, measure it, and revisit it on a cadence so the choice stays matched to the current goal.
- Can small teams use Pre Post Analysis?
- Yes. Smaller teams often apply it better because fewer handoffs mean the person who owns the lever also owns the number.
- Where do RGM observations fit here?
- Any pattern labelled RGM analysis comes from reviewing real accounts. It is offered as a tested hypothesis, never as a substitute for measuring your own data.
Frequently asked
What is Pre Post Analysis in simple terms?
Pre Post Analysis is a topic within Data Science, the discipline of applying statistical methods to marketing problems, from MMM and propensity modeling to churn and LTV prediction. In plain terms, this page treats it as a recurring decision your team can make with a shared definition instead of restarting the debate each time.
Why does Pre Post Analysis matter?
It matters because it shapes how budget, effort, and attention get allocated. When pre post analysis is defined and measured well, spend follows what works; when it is fuzzy, spend follows whoever argues hardest.
How do you measure Pre Post Analysis?
Pick one primary number, instrument it cleanly, and pair it with a counter-metric so you are not gaming the goal. Then compare against a pre-change baseline rather than an industry average.
What references help with Pre Post Analysis?
Useful reference points include Recast, PyMC-Marketing, Robyn from Meta, and Google's LightweightMMM. Tools matter less than a clean definition and trustworthy measurement; a good tool on a bad definition still produces a misleading dashboard.
What is the most common mistake with Pre Post Analysis?
Optimizing it in isolation. A local improvement that ignores the downstream business effect can look like a win on the dashboard while costing money elsewhere.
How often should you review Pre Post Analysis?
Put it on a calendar; ad hoc reviews are how teams miss slow declines. The point is a fixed rhythm, so slow drift gets caught before it becomes a quarter-sized problem.
Sources cited on this page
- Recast — getrecast.com/blog
- Meta Robyn — facebookexperimental.github.io/Robyn
- Towards Data Science — towardsdatascience.com